Lahore survey reveals voters polarized, but majority say Sharifs can make Pak developed nation

MAMOSA Report — A majority of people in three constituencies of Lahore think Nawaz Sharif and his younger brother Shahbaz Sharif can take the country into the league of developed nations, says a joint survey conducted by Harvard University and Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS).

The survey report says “While voters are polarized on the question of Nawaz and Shahbaz Sharif’s honesty, a big majority (of those polled) think they are capable of taking Pakistan into the league of developed nations. An overwhelming majority rejects that Imran Khan is dishonest, but at this stage of Election 2018, and in these three constituencies, he is seen less favorably as the leader to take Pakistan into the league of developed nations.”


The survey which was conducted in NAs 121, 122 and 124 constituencies out of a total of 148 constituencies in Punajb — Pakistan’s largest province showed that voters were most concerned about economic issues such as electricity and unemployment.

“Our first political attitudes survey focuses on Lahore, the battle-ground between the PML-N and PTI in the 2013 general elections. Reputable analysts expect a highly competitive Lahore election in 2018. Although the PML-N has traditionally dominated the city’s politics, Lahore has a large demographic of educated and young voters that is argued to play in PTI’s favor. Hence, we kick off our series with Lahore. In the future, we plan to extend the survey to a wider set of constituencies that represent important battlegrounds critical to the 2018 general election,” the survey report said.

Corruption is not an important issue for the majority of those surveyed, however, anti-corruption campaigns that do not tackle economic issues are unlikely to resonate among those surveyed.

The findings further suggest that Imran Khan’s party PTI is trailing behind PML-N in these constituencies in terms of party support.

In terms of voting intention, there is a large proportion of voters who are still undecided and the election will rest on where they sway.

The proportion who state they will vote for PML-N are close to, but not quite, a majority.

The survey was conducted during January-February 2017 using a sampling of 2,127 respondents over the age of 18, which included 51% female and 49% male respondents.

“These results are not representative of all Pakistan, Punjab or Lahore constituencies. It is representative of a key battle ground seat and two safe seats in the heart of Lahore,” the survey report said.

(Based on reporting in The News International)

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